Winter Challenge 2015/2016: Live Update of Metric 1 - Temperature

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Daily minimum temperature (blue) and running 14-day mean daily minimum temperature (red)

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Metric 1: Coldest 2-week (14-days) mean daily minimum temperature.

Thin lines show development during previous winters: 2010-2014. Dashed lines: running mean 14-day daily minimum temperature; solid lines: development of the minimum during the winter season in previous years. Red dots: running mean 14-day daily minimum temperature since December 2015; red dotted line: currently recorded minimum. Horizontal lines on the right hand side: Forecast entries by challenge participants.

Winter Challenge 2015/2016: Live Update of Metric 2 - CO2

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CO2 mixing ratio recorded in winter 2015/2016 on the institute roof

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Metric 2a: Maximum 10-min CO2 mixing ratio

Blue dots: Daily maximum CO2 mixing ratio up to now. Red dot and red thin dashed line: Maximum SubscriptBox[CO, 2] concentration recorded so far in winter 2015/2016. Triangle symbols: Maxima recorded in previous years. Horizontal lines on the right hand side: Forecast entries by challenge participants.

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Metric 2b: Minimum of lowermost 5% quantile of daily 10-min CO2 mixing ratio observations

Blue dots: Daily lowermost 5% quantiles of CO2 of winters 2014/2015 and 2015/2016. Red dot and red thin dashed line: Minimum recorded so far in winter 2015/2016. Orange line: monthly average CO2 concentration from Mauna Loa. Horizontal lines on the right hand side: Forecast entries by challenge participants.

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Last Update: Wed 2 Mar 2016 03:19:28

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