Publications

O'Sullivan, M.; Friedlingstein, P.; Sitch, S.; Pongratz, J.; Schwingshackl, C.; Gasser, T.; Ciais, P.; Arora, V.; Kato, E.; Knauer, J. et al.; Monier, E.; Nützel, T.; Sun, Q.; Yuan, W.; Yue, X.; Zaehle, S.: An improved approach to estimate the natural land carbon sink. npj Climate and Atmospheric Science (2026)

Ciais, P.; Ke, P.; Yao, Y.; Sitch, S.; Li, W.; Xu, Y.; Du, X.; Gui, X.; Bastos, A.; Zaehle, S. et al.; Poulter, B.; Colligan, T.; van der Woude, A. M.; Peters, W.; Liu, Z.; Jin, Z.; Tian, X.; Wang, Y.; Liu, J.; Pandey, S.; O’Dell, C.; Bian, J.; Zhou, C.; Miller, J.; Lan, X.; De Souza, J. G.; O’Sullivan, M.; Friedlingstein, P.; van der Werf, G. R.; Peters, G. P.; Chevallier, F.: Low latency global carbon budget indicates reduced land carbon sink in the year 2024. National Science Review 13 (2), nwaf594 (2026)

Ivanova, K.; Virkkala, A.-M.; Brovkin, V.; Stacke, T.; Widhalm, B.; Bartsch, A.; Voigt, C.; Sonnentag, O.; Göckede, M.: High-resolution remote sensing and machine-learning-based upscaling of methane fluxes: a case study in the Western Canadian tundra. Biogeosciences 23 (1), pp. 233 - 262 (2026)

Ermitão, T.; Gouveia, C.; Russo, A.; Burton, C.; Churiulin, E.; de Souza, J. G.; O’ Sullivan, M.; Ciais, P.; Zaehle, S.; Sitch, S. et al.; Li, W.; Xu, Y.; Bastos, A.: Influence of simulated vs. satellite-based burned areas on modelled terrestrial carbon fluxes. Carbon Balance and Management 21, 9 (2026)

Ioannidis, E.; Meesters, A.; Steiner, M.; Brunner, D.; Reum, F.; Pison, I.; Berchet, A.; Thompson, R.; Sollum, E.; Koch, F.-T. et al.; Gerbig, C.; Wang, F.; Maksyutov, S.; Tsuruta, A.; Tenkanen, M.; Aalto, T.; Monteil, G.; Lin, H.; Ren, G.; Scholze, M.; Houweling, S.: An inter-comparison of inverse models for estimating European CH₄ emissions. Earth System Science Data 18 (1), pp. 167 - 198 (2026)

Dong, G.; Jiang, F.; Zhang, Y.; Ju, W.; Piao, S.; Ciais, P.; Peters, W.; Luijkx, I. T.; Liu, J.; Chevallier, F. et al.; Zeng, N.; Tian, X.; Maksyutov, S.; Sonnentag, O.; Arain, M. A.; Barr, A. G.; Huang, Y.; Yue, C.; Yuan, W.; Liu, L.; Fan, L.; Yue, X.; Xiao, J.; Li, X.; Sitch, S.; Friedlingstein, P.; O’Sullivan, M.; Knauer, J.; Arora, V.; Kennedy, D.; Ma, L.; Thornton, P. E.; Séférian, R.; Nützel, T.; Heinke, J.; Sun, Q.; Zaehle, S.; Peylin, P.; Kato, E.; Alcock, H.; Lecavalier, B.; Wu, M.; Wang, J.; Zhang, L.; Lv, G.; Zhang, Y.; Zhao, D.; Chen, J. M.: Canadian net forest CO₂ uptake enhanced by heat drought via reduced respiration. Nature Geoscience (2026)

Pilz, L.; Lüken-Winkels, C.; Galkowski, M.; Ho, D.; Gerbig, C.; Chen, F.; Vardag, S. N.: Evaluation of high-resolution WRF simulation in urban areas — Effect of different physics schemes on simulation performance in the Rhine-Main-Neckar area. Atmospheric Research 328, 108435 (2026)

Tang, G.; Zaehle, S.; Nicholls, Z. R. J.; Norton, A.; Ziehn, T.; Meinshausen, M. A.: Understanding the drivers of carbon-nitrogen cycle variability in CMIP6 ESMs with MAGICC CNit v2.0: Model and calibration updates. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems 18 (1), e2025MS005270 (2026)

Ouyang, Z.; Jackson, R. B.; Saunois, M.; Canadell, J. G.; Zhao, Y.; Morfopoulos, C.; Krummel, P. B.; Patra, P. K.; Peters, G. P.; Dennison, F. et al.; Gasser, T.; Archibald, A. T.; Arora, V.; Baudoin, G.; Chandra, N.; Ciais, P.; Davis, S. J.; Feron, S.; Guo, F.; Hauglustaine, D.; Jones, C. D.; Jones, M. W.; Kato, E.; Kennedy, D.; Knauer, J.; Lienert, S.; Lombardozzi, D.; Melton, J. R.; Nabel, J.; O’Sullivan, M.; Pétron, G.; Poulter, B.; Rogelj, J.; Calle, D. S.; Smith, P.; Suntharalingam, P.; Tian, H.; Wang, C.; Wiltshire, A.: The global hydrogen budget. Nature 648, pp. 616 - 624 (2025)

Cuynet, A.; Salmon, E.; López‐Blanco, E.; Göckede, M.; Ikawa, H.; Kobayashi, H.; Lohila, A.; Ottlé, C.: Enhanced prescription of soil organic and mineral content in the ORCHIDEE LSM to better simulate soil temperatures: Application at nine high‐latitude GEM and FLUXNET sites. Journal of Geophysical Research: Biogeosciences 130 (12), e2025JG008776 (2025)

Castro-Morales, K.; Canning, A.; Arzberger, S.; Kaiser, J.; Overholt, W. A.; Sellmaier, S.; Khodabakhshi, N.; Redlich, S.; Marca, A.; Kolle, O. et al.; Göckede, M.; Wichard, T.; Küsel, K.; Körtzinger, A.; Zimov, N. S.: Aquatic productivity signals in the Kolyma river (northeastern Siberia) from O₂/Ar ratios and O₂ triple isotopologues. Journal of Geophysical Research: Biogeosciences 130 (12), e2025JG009415 (2025)

Gong, C.; Wang, Y.; Tian, H.; Kou-Giesbrecht, S.; Vuichard, N.; Zaehle, S.: Uncertainties in fertilizer-induced emissions of soil nitrogen oxide and the associated impacts on ground-level ozone and methane. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics 25 (22), pp. 17009 - 17025 (2025)

Pallandt, M.; Chatterjee, A.; Ott, L.; Marshall, J.; Göckede, M.: If the Yedoma thaws, will we notice? Quantifying detection limits of top-down methane monitoring infrastructures. Atmospheric Measurement Techniques 18 (22), pp. 7053 - 7073 (2025)

Peano, D.; Hemming, D.; Delire, C.; Fan, Y.; Lee, H.; Materia, S.; Nabel, J. E. M. S.; Park, T.; Wårlind, D.; Wiltshire, A. et al.; Zaehle, S.: Plant phenology evaluation of CRESCENDO land surface models using satellite-derived Leaf Area Index – Part 2: Seasonal trough, peak, and amplitude. Biogeosciences 22 (22), pp. 7117 - 7135 (2025)

Tran, D. A.; de Arellano, J. V.-G.; Luijkx, I. T.; Gerbig, C.; Galkowski, M.; Botia, S.; Faassen, K.; Zaehle, S.: Increasing diurnal and seasonal amplitude of atmospheric methane mole fraction in Central Siberia between 2010–2021. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics 25 (22), pp. 16553 - 16588 (2025)

Yazbeck, T.; Schlutow, M.; Bolek, A.; Triches, N. Y.; Wahl, E.; Heimann, M.; Göckede, M.: Quantifying landcover-specific fluxes over a heterogeneous landscape through coupling UAV-measured mixing ratios with a large-eddy simulation model and Eddy-covariance measurements. Atmospheric Measurement Techniques 18 (22), pp. 6917 - 6932 (2025)

Miinalainen, T.; Ojasalo, A.; Croft, H.; Aurela, M.; Peltoniemi, M.; Caldararu, S.; Zaehle, S.; Thum, T.: Evaluating the carbon and nitrogen cycles of the QUINCY terrestrial biosphere model using space-born optical remotely-sensed data. Biogeosciences 22 (22), pp. 6937 - 6962 (2025)

Du, X.; Ciais, P.; Sitch, S.; Chevallier, F.; O’Sullivan, M.; Bastos, A.; Zaehle, S.; Ke, P.; Zhu, L.; Guo, Z. et al.; Leng, Y.; Li, W.; de Souza, J. G.; Li, W.: Record-breaking high temperature amplifies the negative anomaly of tropical net land carbon sinks in the 2023-2024 El Nino. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 374, 110793 (2025)

Krautwurst, S.; Fruck, C.; Wolff, S.; Borchardt, J.; Huhs, O.; Gerilowski, K.; Galkowski, M.; Kiemle, C.; Quatrevalet, M.; Wirth, M. et al.; Mallaun, C.; Burrows, J. P.; Gerbig, C.; Fix, A.; Bösch, H.; Bovensmann, H.: Identification and quantification of CH₄ emissions from Madrid landfills using airborne imaging spectrometry and greenhouse gas lidar. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics 25 (21), pp. 14669 - 14702 (2025)

Faassen, K. A. P.; González‐Armas, R.; Koren, G.; Adnew, G. A.; van Asperen, H.; de Boer, H.; Botia, S.; de Feiter, V. S.; Hartogensis, O.; Heusinkveld, B. G. et al.; Hulsman, L. M.; Hutjes, R. W. A.; Jones, S. P.; Kers, B. A. M.; Komiya, S.; Machado, L. A. T.; Martins, G.; Miller, J. B.; Mol, W.; van der Molen, M.; Moonen, R.; Dias‐Junior, C. Q.; Röckmann, T.; Snellen, H.; Luijkx, I. T.; de Arellano, J. V.: Tracing diurnal variations of atmospheric CO₂, O₂, and delta ¹³CO₂ over a tropical and a temperate forest. Geophysical Research Letters 52 (20), e2025GL118016 (2025)